{"count":69,"markets":[{"code":"0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846","platform":"polymarket","question":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","yes":0.075,"volume_usd":79634729.392295,"liquidity_usd":460112.6232,"close_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","tags":["geopolitics","destination"],"slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027"},{"code":"0xd9fb1184af0064e5e34b129f5b79afa5a17b7e32f2953ab05efed82315fee6d4","platform":"polymarket","question":"Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting wi","yes":0.0135,"volume_usd":46188172.548026,"liquidity_usd":525667.67951,"close_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-china-invade-taiwan-before-2027","tags":["geopolitics","destination"],"slug":"will-china-invade-taiwan-by-end-of-2026"},{"code":"0x7586a96520578acaaaa4ea84a2582f197f84255da1f3392a7aa300386c187b37","platform":"polymarket","question":"Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","description":"Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December ","yes":0.237,"volume_usd":34877323.598777,"liquidity_usd":363716.09482,"close_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-benjamin-netanyahu-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","tags":["geopolitics","destination"],"slug":"will-benjamin-netanyahu-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel"},{"code":"0xdce84960dce38aa4a5800a5eba7c9ac34d2ce49ba9d44c42572c472d468af264","platform":"polymarket","question":"Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","yes":0.034,"volume_usd":34632457.72673899,"liquidity_usd":282240.9384,"close_date":"2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-raphael-warnock-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-914","tags":[],"slug":"will-raphael-warnock-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination"},{"code":"0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b","platform":"polymarket","question":"Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran. T","yes":0.0255,"volume_usd":29745426.499560002,"liquidity_usd":551569.89669,"close_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026","tags":["geopolitics","destination"],"slug":"will-the-iranian-regime-fall-before-2027"},{"code":"0x6bd56627aa21311850825edb27e53434a0e17a4f782be0086bc07f71eee00d0d","platform":"polymarket","question":"Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within thi","yes":0.0145,"volume_usd":28067831.025765,"liquidity_usd":491107.8958,"close_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/putin-out-before-2027-346","tags":["geopolitics","destination"],"slug":"putin-out-as-president-of-russia-by-december-31-2026"},{"code":"0xfee07be730188c94cd3644ed6f107fa3ea2dfab9989ce8d39aeeae064766abe3","platform":"polymarket","question":"Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","yes":0.0035,"volume_usd":24962704.992111005,"liquidity_usd":294579.97641,"close_date":"2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-jon-stewart-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-518","tags":[],"slug":"will-jon-stewart-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination"},{"code":"0x5c79dfde05559b79a9cb9f7c4187e4d49632dd042572ae676952f812732591cc","platform":"polymarket","question":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been pub","yes":0.085,"volume_usd":17598857.385231,"liquidity_usd":272101.4023,"close_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","tags":["transport","destination"],"slug":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31"},{"code":"0xdbe93b5a701f36076a560fa4b9ba59e365a6e8e2ea6a83764640010657277ca4","platform":"polymarket","question":"Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","description":"Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December ","yes":0.5755,"volume_usd":9996233.139241999,"liquidity_usd":111698.48506,"close_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gadi-eizenkot-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","tags":["geopolitics","destination"],"slug":"will-gadi-eizenkot-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel"},{"code":"0x46ca741da4abd7ffa993f59ac65bfe83de43ae027accac71d263a493e44064e7","platform":"polymarket","question":"US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?","description":"On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United","yes":0.3385,"volume_usd":6080241.149876,"liquidity_usd":336488.16481,"close_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-december-31-2026-20260727171803489-375-949-645-919-269-157-255-857","tags":["geopolitics","destination"],"slug":"us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-december-31-2026"},{"code":"0xadffc96f54f350b3655f72fe2853c81bfd705e9703f62469e6a14782ad5d4ec0","platform":"polymarket","question":"Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","description":"Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December ","yes":0.053,"volume_usd":5522581.230454,"liquidity_usd":170780.15697,"close_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-avigdor-lieberman-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","tags":["geopolitics","destination"],"slug":"will-avigdor-lieberman-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel"},{"code":"0xa653be0f150dbe055a532ea02977338bb31f49d1f723b2a48c1f67847a73cb7d","platform":"polymarket","question":"Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","description":"Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December ","yes":0.0035,"volume_usd":4650890.631690001,"liquidity_usd":280507.91365,"close_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-yossi-cohen-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","tags":["geopolitics","destination"],"slug":"will-yossi-cohen-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel"},{"code":"0x79b7408f02df2eba4034ca4c06ddf17b8dbeacc5adbe8595969e7573912c4e3b","platform":"polymarket","question":"US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?","description":"On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, including a 60-day extendable period in which both countries committed to negotiate toward a “final deal” regarding Iran’s nuclear program and other topics.\n\nThis market resolves to “Yes” if a qualifying written diplomatic instrument between the United States and Iran has been mutually signed or adopted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.”\n\nUnless the written instrument is formally adopted without signature as described below, the instrument must be signed by both the ","yes":0.125,"volume_usd":4396687.5914590005,"liquidity_usd":146542.4862,"close_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-december-31-2026-191","tags":["geopolitics","destination"],"slug":"us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-december-31-2026"},{"code":"0xf2bf04609e7458df56c9bb4b1e051286dea11da1c944bbc1dafbcc6b76904e52","platform":"polymarket","question":"NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between January 2, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"military encounter\" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between NATO and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and","yes":0.105,"volume_usd":3766352.1481630006,"liquidity_usd":89188.7233,"close_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nato-x-russia-military-clash-by-december-31-2026-244-538-582","tags":["geopolitics","destination"],"slug":"nato-x-russia-military-clash-by-december-31-2026"},{"code":"0xe6d5e5da83874cd82c9b651a8a5d4fc541a800a295fb62e85124b4f5a04a4b7d","platform":"polymarket","question":"Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will a","yes":0.085,"volume_usd":3695489.5514350007,"liquidity_usd":211047.6614,"close_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-china-invade-taiwan-by-december-31-2027","tags":["geopolitics","destination"],"slug":"will-china-invade-taiwan-by-december-31-2027"},{"code":"0x2f224fca80a6a6b3a2a200406473fc8b33da6bcf5af83dc3fe9021a541c0519d","platform":"polymarket","question":"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?","description":"If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","yes":0.0125,"volume_usd":2809236.468279,"liquidity_usd":120563.50437,"close_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-december-31-898-927","tags":["geopolitics","destination"],"slug":"will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-december-31"},{"code":"0x8a5c0b5fc339f2dbaf584def66bcf8bff94d91f0250562e452782fed3d18f821","platform":"polymarket","question":"Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the ne","yes":0.045,"volume_usd":2708442.118506,"liquidity_usd":286341.0368,"close_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-crude-oil-reach-a-new-all-time-high-by-december-31","tags":["transport","destination"],"slug":"will-crude-oil-reach-a-new-all-time-high-by-december-31"},{"code":"0x7a70fc60ee280fa7b4312f5dd128d148d74ae5b3e4a2e8215ccf0030a08ebb04","platform":"polymarket","question":"US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?","description":"On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United","yes":0.135,"volume_usd":2703817.500705,"liquidity_usd":239997.0584,"close_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-november-30-2026","tags":["geopolitics","destination"],"slug":"us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-november-30-2026"},{"code":"0xfb2cb634e693b1758fc78b38b02754472edd728bd22eb4a7023c6f49419c73d6","platform":"polymarket","question":"Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","description":"Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December ","yes":0.0015,"volume_usd":2626317.5300769997,"liquidity_usd":101555.35303,"close_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gideon-saar-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel","tags":["geopolitics","destination"],"slug":"will-gideon-sa-ar-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel"},{"code":"0xca394e0db041f91ac2d69f3ea06efdfc8643acb0d2751283bd594e7b8bd581f9","platform":"polymarket","question":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST.\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other co","yes":0.9715,"volume_usd":2444174.3133699996,"liquidity_usd":196712.05886,"close_date":"2026-11-16T04:59:00Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-november-15","tags":["geopolitics","destination"],"slug":"israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-november-15"}],"errors":[]}