Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
YES 隐含概率3.4%
成交量$34.6M
流动性$282K
距结算728 天
尾部·低成本对冲可信度 97%
结果概率仅 3.4%，单价低；作为尾部风险的对冲仓位成本小，但期望值需自行判断。