polymarket$79.6M
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
尾部·低成本对冲93%
结果概率仅 7.5%，单价低；作为尾部风险的对冲仓位成本小，但期望值需自行判断。
Flyers vs. Oilers
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 11 at 9:00PM ET: If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers". If the Oilers win, the market will resolve to "Oilers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
YES 隐含概率33.5%
成交量$34K
流动性$196K
距结算1 天
长尾·流动性不足可信度 28%
流动性 $196K，报价容易被单笔交易推动，参考价值有限。
相关盘口
polymarket$46.2M
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
尾部·低成本对冲99%
结果概率仅 1.4%，单价低；作为尾部风险的对冲仓位成本小，但期望值需自行判断。
polymarket$34.9M
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
分歧区·值得跟踪73%
隐含概率 23.3% 处于分歧区间，流动性 $362K；距结算 0 天，是模型与市场分歧最容易出现的位置。